"Opening the Russian market to Turkish onion, salt and cauliflower as per the latest government resolution, won't have a significant effect on the supply and demand equilibrium in the domestic market seeing how the share of imports from Turkey for these items never exceeded 3% before the ban was introduced," Analytical Center expert Elena Razumova told RIA Novosti.
Lifting the ban on the imports of onion, cauliflower, and salt from Turkey will not affect the domestic market
She noted that in the bulb onion segment (including scallion) the traditional suppliers to Russia in recent years have been Egypt, China and Poland. Those countries held leading positions in Russian imports, between 70% in 2014 and all the way up to 88% in 2016.
Meanwhile, Turkeys share prior to the imposition of the ban was about 16% in total imports, however, its share in total sales in the Russian market was between 1.6 and 2.8%. "Salt imports made up about 30% of total salt sales in Russia, with the bulk of those imports traditionally coming from the Eurasian Economic Union, while Turkish imports made up less than 1% of total sales in the Russian market," the expert added. In the cauliflower and broccoli market Belarus and China are them main suppliers (with 72% and 9% of total imports respectively). Turkish suppliers had a very modest share of 1-3% of total sales in that market.
"With regards to Turkey the main risks include a possible lifting of restrictions on the imports of tomatoes from Turkey, because prior to the imposition of the ban the bulk of all tomato imports came to Russia from Turkey and those tomato imports still have not been substituted for with tomatoes from other countries," Ms Razumova concluded.
The government resolution lifting the ban on Turkish bulb onions and scallion, cauliflower, broccoli, salt, chewing gum and carnations was signed late last week. Turkish frozen meat, processed chicken and turkey, fresh and frozen tomatoes, cucumbers and gherkin, fresh grapes, apples, pears, strawberries and wild strawberries remained banned.
Source: RIA Novosti